ERF of ambient temperature on mortality
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Scope
What is the exposure-response function of ambient temperature on mortality in Europe.
Definition
Data
Table 1: Exposure-response functions: for heat effects on mortality by age group. Heat: % change in summer (April-September) mortality per degree (AT°C) above the heat threshold (95% confidence intervals)[1].
Mediterranean pooled estimate | North-continental pooled estimate | |
---|---|---|
Heat threshold | 29.4 (25.7-32.4) | 23.3 (22.5-24.0) |
Age | Natural mortality | |
15-64 | 0.92 (-1.92, 3.13) | 1.31 (-0.94. 3.72) |
65-74 | 2.13 (-0.42, 4.74) | 1.65 (-0.5, 3.87) |
75+ | 4.22 (1.33, 7.20) | 2.07 (0.24, 3.89) |
All ages | 3.12 (0.60, 5.72) | 1.84 (0.06, 3.64) |
Age | Cardiovascular mortality | |
15-64 | 0.57 (-2.47 to 3.83) | 1.04 (_2.20 to 4.92) |
65-74 | 1.92 (-1.49 to 5.35) | 1.50 (1.12 to 4.62) |
75+ | 4.66 (1.13 to 8.18) | 2.55 (0.24 to 5.51) |
All ages | 3.70 (0.36 to 7.04) | 2.44 (0.09 to 5.32) |
Age | Respiratory mortality | |
15-64 | 1.54 (-3.68 to 7.22) | 3.02 (-1.55 to 7.42) |
65-74 | 3.37 (-1.46 to 8.22) | 3.90 (-0.16 to 8.92) |
75+ | 8.10 (3.24 to 13.37) | 6.62 (3.04 to 11.42)) |
All ages | 6.71 (2.43 to 11.26) | 6.10 (2.46 to 11.08) |
Unit
% change in mortality associated with a 1 degree increase in maximum apparent temperature above the region-specific threshold.
Result
See also
References
- ↑ Baccini et al 2008 Epidemiology, vol 19, number 5, pp. 711-719